• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Jobs
  • Pressroom
  • MyTTI
  • Contact Us
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LinkedIn
  • YouTube
  • Instagram
  • SlideShare
  • RSS

Texas A&M Transportation Institute

Saving Lives, Time and Resources.

  • About TTI
    • Overview
    • Academic Partners
    • Advisory Council
    • Hall of Honor
    • History
    • Sponsors
    • Participate in Research
  • Focus Areas
    • Connected Transportation
    • Economics
    • Environment
    • Freight
    • Human Interaction
    • Infrastructure
    • Mobility
    • Planning and Operations
    • Policy
    • Safety
    • Security
    • Workforce Development
  • Facilities
    • Connected Transportation
    • Infrastructure
    • Safety
    • Environment
    • Traffic Operations
    • Maps
  • Home
  • Centers
    • National
    • State
    • Research Internships
  • People
    • People Search
    • Directory
    • Featured Researchers
    • TTI Staff External Awards and Committees
  • Publications
    • Catalog Search
    • Texas Transportation Researcher
You are here: Home / Publications / Catalog Search / Forecasting Model for U.S.-Mexico Border Freight Traffic Trends Report

Forecasting Model for U.S.-Mexico Border Freight Traffic Trends Report

Full-Text PDF

Author(s):

D. Salgado, B. Dadashova, G. Pesti, R.M. Aldrete

Publication Date:

September 2019

Abstract:

The Center for International Intelligent Transportation Research (CIITR) publishes an annual issue of the report titled U.S.-Mexico Border Freight Traffic Trends. This publication is primarily focused on reporting historical freight activities at land ports of entry (LPOEs) on the U.S.-Mexico border over the past 20 years. Specifically, this publication presents historical trends and other statistics regarding freight traffic, trade, types of commodities transported, and import-export activities by mode of surface transportation. Some of the information presented is aggregated at the border municipality level -- by what is defined by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics as a “port” -- while other information is presented for select LPOEs. The U.S.-Mexico Border Freight Traffic Trends report is a valuable reference for public agencies with competences in international trade and cross-border transportation operations, among others. This publication is also used by private-sector entities that perform trade and manufacturing activities. The objective of this research project was to develop a model capable of forecasting future commodity trading between the United States and Mexico based on the historical import and export data. The incorporation of these forecasts into the U.S.-Mexico Border Freight Traffic Trends yearly report will benefit transportation and trade agencies, as well as the private sector, by providing a better understanding of future tendencies in border trade dynamics. This report consists of five chapters. The present chapter (Chapter 1) serves as the introduction. Chapter 2 documents the state of the practice on trade forecasting methods. Chapter 3 describes U.S.-Mexico trade data datasets and their sources. Chapter 4 provides a detailed description of the forecasting method utilized by means of an example, and Chapter 5 provides the forecast results. Chapter 6 then presents the conclusion of the project. Finally, forecasted values are documented in the Appendix.

Report Number:

185918-00007

Electronic Link(s):

Document/Product

http://tti.tamu.edu/documents/185918-00007.pdf

Publication/Product Request

TTI reports and products are available for download at no charge. If an electronic version is not available and no instructions on how to obtain it are given, contact the TTI Library.

  • The State of Texas
  • Texas Homeland Security
  • Texas Veterans Portal
  • State Expenditure Database
  • Statewide Search
  • State Auditor’s Office Hotline
  • TAMUS Risk, Fraud & Misconduct Hotline
  • Site Policies
  • Open Records Policy
  • Statutorily Required Reports
  • TTI Rules
  • Veterans
  • Equal Opportunity
  • COVID-19 Info
  • Jobs
Member of the Texas A&M University System

© 2023 Copyright Statement / Legal Notices and Policies

Comments, suggestions, or queries? Contact us!

Texas A&M Transportation Institute · 3135 TAMU · College Station, Texas 77843-3135

(979) 317-2000